SCP has developed disciplined investment processes that rely on quantitative analysis to help identify what we believe are the most attractive opportunities. The firm believes that unique characteristics of domestic small cap and micro cap equities promotes the use of a quantitatively driven investment process.
Quantitative Investment Process
Click the steps below for more information.
Rank the investment universe to generate a list of stocks that are attractive on a relative basis within each sector.
SCP utilizes a weekly report appraising various quantitative factors, providing a ranked list of companies within each sector. Portfolio Managers use the ranking system to narrow the field of candidates and provide a consistent set of metrics to analyze how the companies rank over time.
Factors used to calculate ranking include, but are not limited to:
- Free Cash Flow Yield (FCF/EV)
- Earnings Yield (E/P)
- Book to Market (B/P)
- Sales Yield (S/P)
- Dividend Yield
- Economic Returns (ROE, ROA)
- Balance Sheet Strength
- Earnings Quality & Consistency
- Capital Allocation History
- Estimate Revisions
- Relative Strength
- Stock Price Trend
Narrowing the universe primarily focuses on three main tenets. Model output validation is also critical.
The investment team conducts additional analysis to evaluate each company’s strengths, liquidity, and weaknesses.
- Insider Buying
- Insider Ownership
- Competitive Advantage Period
- Compounder of Capital
- Accretive Share Buybacks
- Growing Dividends
- Business Improvement YOY
- SCP “APGAR” Score
- Average Daily Dollar Volume
- Median Daily Dollar Volume
- Bid-Ask Spread
- Shareholder Composition
- Free Float Percentage
- ETF Ownership
- Index Membership
- Option Availability
- Unsustainable Earnings
- Unsustainable Cash Flows
- Insider Selling
- No Insider Ownership
- Issuer of Equity
- Issuer of Debt
- “Transformational” M&A
- Bankruptcy Risk
Utilize a team approach to build concentrated portfolios of the best stocks at appropriate weights.
- Favorable Valuation Ranking
- Favorable Model Aggregate Ranking
- No more than one Risk Flag
- Industry Group Diversity
- Deterioration in Valuation Ranking
- Deterioration in Model Aggregate Rankings
- Appearance of multiple Risk Flags
- A more attractive investment opportunity exists in another company
General Guidelines for Portfolio Construction
- Build concentrated positions in companies, industries, and sectors that are quantitatively attractive
- Be time agnostic with the preference for an investment with a long-term time horizon
- Understand transaction costs and aim to minimize them